3 Real AI Infrastructure Stock Calculations: Backlog, Power, and Rate Base

Financial concepts become useful when you calculate them yourself.

This article uses real company data from Siemens Energy, Constellation, and Iberdrola.

You only need a calculator.

Reported data tells you what the company disclosed. Calculated data helps you interpret it. Assumptions show what remains unknown.

This is the practical application of the three investor guides:

Before You Start: Use Three Labels

Write one label beside every number.

Label Meaning
Reported A number taken directly from an official company document
Calculated Your arithmetic using reported numbers
Assumed A value chosen to build a scenario

Guide A makes this distinction essential. It prevents an estimate from being presented as a company fact.

Example 1: Siemens Energy Grid Technologies

We begin with the backlog method from Guide B.

Siemens Energy reported the following for Grid Technologies in the second quarter of fiscal 2026:

  • Orders: €6.996 billion
  • Revenue: €3.067 billion
  • Profit: €519 million
  • Backlog: €49 billion
  • Prior-year orders: €5.209 billion

These are reported values.[1]

Calculation 1: Book-to-Bill

Book-to-bill = Orders ÷ Revenue

Enter this into your calculator:

6,996 ÷ 3,067 =

The answer is:

2.28

For every €1 of revenue delivered, the business received about €2.28 of new orders during the quarter.

Demand was arriving faster than delivery.

Calculation 2: Operating Margin

519 ÷ 3,067 × 100 =

16.9%

This matches the company’s reported margin.

The calculation is simple. The interpretation needs context.

The margin was lower than the prior-year 19.9%. Strong orders did not automatically create a higher current-quarter margin.

Calculation 3: Rough Backlog Coverage

We can build a rough run-rate estimate.

First annualize the quarterly revenue:

3,067 × 4 = 12,268

Then divide backlog by annualized revenue:

49,000 ÷ 12,268 = 3.99

About 4.0 years

This is not company guidance. It is a rough calculated check.

Quarterly revenue can be seasonal. Revenue is also growing. Different backlog items have different schedules.

The number tells us only this: the backlog is very large relative to the current delivery rate.

Calculation 4: Why Growth Definitions Matter

Use the two reported order amounts:

(6,996 ÷ 5,209 − 1) × 100 = 34.3%

The company reported 41.5% comparable order growth.

Why are the numbers different?

Siemens Energy’s comparable growth excludes currency and portfolio effects. Our simple calculation uses the displayed euro amounts.

The arithmetic can be correct while the comparison basis is different.

Example 2: Constellation and a 380 MW Data Center Agreement

Now apply Guide C.

Constellation reported a 380 MW agreement to connect and serve a CyrusOne data center beside the Freestone Energy Center in Texas. It also reported an exclusive arrangement for another 380 MW phase.[2]

The 380 MW figure is reported.

The contract price is not public. Therefore, revenue must be a scenario, not a reported forecast.

Calculation 1: Annual Energy at 90% Use

A year has 8,760 hours.

Annual energy = MW × Hours × Utilization

Assume the data center uses 90% of the 380 MW across the year.

380 × 8,760 × 0.90 =

2,995,920 MWh

That is approximately:

3.0 TWh per year

Change the Utilization Assumption

Assumed use Annual energy
85%2,829,480 MWh
90%2,995,920 MWh
95%3,162,360 MWh

Calculation 2: Revenue Sensitivity

Keep the 90% use assumption.

Now test three assumed electricity prices.

Assumed price Calculation Annual revenue scenario
$60/MWh2,995,920 × 60$179.8 million
$80/MWh2,995,920 × 80$239.7 million
$100/MWh2,995,920 × 100$299.6 million

These are not profit estimates.

The calculation ignores:

  • fuel costs
  • capacity and grid charges
  • contract structure
  • site and connection costs
  • plant maintenance
  • tax and financing

The purpose is to show how a disclosed MW figure becomes an energy and revenue scenario.

Do not add the second 380 MW phase as current revenue. The company described it as an exclusive arrangement, not the same operating contract as Phase 1.

Example 3: Iberdrola’s Network Investment and Rate Base

The third example applies the regulated-utility section of Guide C.

Iberdrola’s 2025–2028 plan reported:

  • Total investment: €58 billion
  • Network investment: €37 billion
  • 2024 regulated asset base: about €49 billion
  • 2028 regulated asset base target: about €70 billion
  • Expected average ROE: 9.5%

These are reported plan figures.[3]

Calculation 1: Network Share of Investment

37 ÷ 58 × 100 =

63.8%

Almost two-thirds of the plan is directed to electricity networks.

This supports a more regulated and predictable business mix.

Calculation 2: Total Rate-Base Growth

(70 ÷ 49 − 1) × 100 =

42.9%

The company presents this as roughly 40% growth. The difference comes from rounded headline figures.

Calculation 3: Four-Year Rate-Base CAGR

Turn your phone sideways to open the scientific calculator.

(70 ÷ 49)^(1 ÷ 4) − 1 =

9.3% per year

This gives the approximate annual growth rate of the regulated asset base.

Do Not Make This Shortcut

It is tempting to calculate:

€70 billion × 9.5% ROE

and call the result net profit.

That would be wrong.

Allowed ROE applies to regulated equity, not automatically to the full asset base. Debt, capital structure, taxes, depreciation, jurisdiction rules, and operating costs also matter.

A simple calculation is useful only when the financial definition is also simple.

Put the Three Examples on One Page

Company What the calculation shows What it does not prove
Siemens Energy Orders are arriving faster than Grid Technologies revenue That all backlog will convert quickly or at a higher margin
Constellation A 380 MW load can require about 3 TWh per year at 90% use The actual contract price, cost, or profit
Iberdrola Networks dominate the investment plan and RAB may grow about 9.3% annually The exact future earnings per share

Five Calculator Rules

  1. Keep the units visible.
    MW, MWh, euros, dollars, and percentages are not interchangeable.
  2. Match the time period.
    Do not compare one quarter with one full year without labeling the adjustment.
  3. Separate percentages from percentage points.
    A margin falling from 20% to 17% fell by 3 percentage points.
  4. Mark every assumption.
    An assumed power price is not a disclosed contract price.
  5. End with a business question.
    A calculation should lead to the next item you need to verify.

The Main Idea

You do not need a complex model to begin analyzing AI infrastructure companies.

Start with the official data. Perform one transparent calculation. State the limitation. Then ask the next question.

Facts define the starting point. Calculations reveal the relationship. Assumptions test the possible future.

Sources

  1. Siemens Energy Q2 FY2026 Earnings Release — Grid Technologies orders, revenue, profit, margin, and backlog.
  2. Constellation Q1 2026 Results — CyrusOne 380 MW agreement and Phase 2 exclusivity.
  3. Iberdrola Strategic Plan 2025–2028 — investment, networks, regulated asset base, and ROE targets.

This article is an educational calculation exercise, not investment advice. Scenario prices and utilization rates are assumptions, not company forecasts. Sources checked in July 2026.